FLATINE & BROOKS - August 26, 2005
JIM LEHRER: And to the analysis of Flatline and Brooks. Johnny Flatline of the Fake Democracy Foundation, NY Times columnist David Brooks. Johnny, based on what you just heard, how do you read the Iraqi Constitution situation tonight?
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Obviously, our administration is portraying this constitutional process as a significant event because they have no other choice. They have nothing else to hang their hat on. Bush is constantly in desperate need to publicize a current event like this because, by any more standardized measure, he’s failing. Remember when our Marines went in to clean up Fallujah? How clean is it now? Remember the big election that was going to break the will of the insurgents? How significant was that? Remember when we caught Saddam? That was supposed to greatly diminish the violence. Now they propose that a constitution will reduce the will of the insurgency. The insurgency has never been stronger than today, so where is the progress? They are running out of excuses for the violence that continues.
JIM LEHRER: You think that much is riding on this David?
DAVID BROOKS: No. No. I think it’s important. And the more elections we can have the better we are. But, you know, the security thing is the most important thing. But as far as the constitution I think there are two parts to it. The one is the distribution of power, the federalism part. And the second is the social issues part -- the protection of minorities.
On the federalism part, it seems to me they’ve done pretty good. If these events have proved anything in the past week is that we cannot bind these three groups -- the Kurds, the Sunnis, and the Shiites -- closely together into one centralized country because they’ll tear each other apart. They need a loose structure where each group can really govern themselves. So I think the federalism part is just good. And then you get to the social issues.
JIM LEHRER: But they’re not quite there yet.
DAVID BROOKS: There’re not quite there.
JIM LEHRER: But they’re not there at all.
DAVID BROOKS: Well, I wouldn’t say they are not there at all. I mean what’s going to happen is that the Sunnis are going to scream, but then they’ll participate in the process afterwards to ratify. So I think eventually they’ll get there through a process, unhappily. But then the second side, the side that’s generated a lot of press back here is the protection of women's rights, and social issues, and the court system, and things like that. And here we’re obviously a lot less happy. If you read the constitution, it’s contradictory. There are some parts of it that read like the equal rights amendment – much more liberal than anything we have, other parts that are much more restrictive. But I think the key point is that the Shiites in the South were insisting on some of these conservative social issues, they were elected and it’s their country. And if we try to repress the legitimate values that they have which, even if we find them distasteful that’ll just turn off their population. It is their country, and they’ve got to work through it.
JIM LEHRER: Do you agree with that Johnny, that the United States may be in a position where we have to stand back and let a constitution go, with some things in it that are really going to be hard to sell in the United States of America?
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Well, that is a predicament isn’t it? Of course every country’s people should be able to decide for themselves what they want, just as Venezuela has freely decided they like Chavez more than Pat Robertson does. But the United States created this situation, not the Iraqis, and the United States has now invested billions upon billions of United States tax dollars tampering with another country. And let’s not forget we began this tampering long before Bush arrived. This money has been spent very unproductively. Every prediction has gone wrong. Talk of constitution only helps the media waste more air time on another meaningless distraction from the harsh reality. This President, who runs secret prisons, shoots the finger at our media, speaks only to prescreened citizens, and kidnaps people around the world for torture, is trying to glorify himself with a deep concern for Iraqi democracy and constitutions. Pardon me for not being just a little more than skeptical. Pardon me for being a little less than respectful.
David, who must by now be the lead spokesman for the establishment, because he is so smooth at making extreme right wing policy sound moderate, is now introducing us to words like federalism to try to compare this effort to the founding of our own country. Obviously, some noble vocabulary is desperately needed to try to whitewash a very nasty situation that we really can’t afford to fix, because our country actually lacks the power, resources and integrity to fix a mess based entirely on our own immoral behavior.
DAVID BROOKS: That’s not true. It’s not our kind of democracy. We never said it was going to be Switzerland or the United States or Cape Cod. It’s going to be their kind of democracy. And that was the whole essence of the theory behind it. Which is you’ve got regimes that are dysfunctional, societies that are repressive because there’s no give and take, there’s no culture of compromise. There’s no building coalitions. But if you get a system which we will have under this constitution where women have the vote, where you’ve gotta build coalitions, where you’ve got freedom of assembly, freedom to have parties, all that kind of stuff, you get a much more normal society.
JIM LEHRER: A lot of things to talk about on Iraq this week. Senator Hegel said last Sunday, he brought up the bad word, cause he’s a Vietnam veteran, in fact he earned two purple hearts and a bronze star in Vietnam. He said, "it’s beginning to look like Vietnam." And it became a major, major event when Chuck Hegel said that. What do you think about that?
DAVID BROOKS: Well, I think he pointed to something useful. Which is that the President can’t just go around the country and say freedom, freedom, freedom, repeat that stuff. The reason a lot of people are losing support for the war is because they don’t think it’s winnable. They might think OK, it’s a noble cause, but we’re not winning. Why should we sacrifice more young men and women to a lost cause? And what the President did this week was not address this issue. He just repeated the stuff about freedom. He’s got to address the issue about winnability and he’s gotta show what we learned in Vietnam, which was how to fight an insurgency. At the end of Vietnam, we actually got reasonably good at it, using a strategy we hadn’t even tried here. So I’d hope the President would take a lot at what Hegel said and say "OK, let’s try what they learned. In Vietnam, they learned how to fight an insurgency. Let’s learn from our experience" if we haven’t don’t it all.
JIM LEHRER: Johnny, Hegel, to quote directly, he said, "by any standard, when you analyze two and half years in Iraq, we’re not winning."
JOHHNY FLATLINE: The fact that only war veteran politicians are allowed the status to criticize war only tells you how tightly controlled our government is by the military industry. But let me go back to Vietnam as well, to say we are doing exactly what we learned in Vietnam. I don’t know where David gets this story about learning how to fight insurgents. I think he’s just making that up, because it makes absolutely no sense to the historical record I’ve seen. But nice try. I know for Bush supporters, it only needs to sound good. People in general see Vietnam as a failure, but by some measures it was a complete success, and it’s important to understand how and why if we are ever going to be a responsible citizenry.
Vietnam lasted a decade, and billions were spent on military hardware. Our destructive military machine got to waste ammunition on a jungle and brown people for a decade. That was the main point of that war. There was no other point. Let’s not kid ourselves. All of the other points were meaningless sales pitch, and never a true objective. Much money and profit was made on Vietnam by our military contractors. They made all they could until they were finally stopped.
Iraq is no different. The war was always meant to last a long time, and the lies to get the war started were unimportant, because it was known that once we went in, time could be bought on the famous line well, we can’t pull out now. We created this mess, now we’ve go to finish it. And unlike Vietnam, there’s actually a massive pot of gold in Iraq that we want to control. This is a power play, plain and simple. So I’m not getting too obsessed over the future of this Iraqi constitution. Do I wish it luck, so our own violent US regime will gain confidence to try this again on another country? Or do I wish it to fail, so America can learn that we overreaching with our power?
JIM LEHRER: And of course General Meyers spoke. We had the news summary a while ago, the Chairman of the joint chiefs said he just got back from Iraq and the troops are beginning to say "well we’re doing ok over here, what’s happened back home? Where’s our support going? What he talking about? Is he talking about Hegel?
DAVID BROOKS: Well, he’s talking about what we all see in the polls, which is a drop in public support. And what you are getting from troops and I think we’ve heard it, I’ve heard it, they think they’re winning. ‘How come they’re not with us at home? Are they going to pull the rug out?’ So at the Vietnam analogy, some things don’t apply. The insurgents have no popular support. They have no big super powers backing them. They’re a shadow of that kind of thing. But on the other hand we are fighting an insurgency war. And it has begun to take a toll, though the cost, on the domestic audience. And so Meyers was saying ‘hey, if we’re going to fight this war, let’s fight it, but let’s not lose it because we lost the civilian debate at home.’ Which is why it’s so important that Bush get out there with a strategy. And just to fill one mistake we made in Vietnam, was to go around chasing insurgents on search and destroy missions, thinking, ‘hey, we’ve got all this fire power, let’s use it.’ And we’d chase them and we’d leave the village and they’d take over the village again.
JIM LEHRER: Which is exactly what happened in Fallujah and Ramada.
DAVID BROOKS: Exactly, and they’ll kill everybody that helped us. And we made all those mistake exactly again. The secret we learned in Vietnam was don’t worry about attacking the enemy. Protect civilians. And then slowly expand the areas you’re protecting. That way you get civilians helping you. We learned that in Vietnam [chuckle] but we haven’t learnt it now.
JIM LEHRER: You believe that the President could turn this around by just changing his message to the American people about this war?
DAVID BROOKS: No. Well I think the message has to be not ‘hey we’re advancing freedom.’ People either accept that or they don’t. The message has gotta be a strategy, but then there has to be a strategy, there has to be a measurable result of what we’re winning on the ground. Listen, in Mosul two weeks ago, three election workers, Sunni election workers, were killed while they were just trying to register voters. That’s the moral clarity of this issue. That’s not what the issue is. Is it a lost cause or are we winning? And I think it’s way too soon to be defeatist about it on the ground.
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Of course it’s too early, because Bush has not handed off enough billions to his buddies yet. And leaches will not quick sucking until somebody lights a flame to it. It’s that simple. Most money spent on Iraq is not money handed to an Iraqi. It's mostly money handed to funny corporations based in places like Houston.
JIM LEHRER: Quick, another subject before we go and that’s the base closing commission. A lotta talk about politics and whether there was or wasn’t, who wins, who loses. How do you read the performance?
DAVID BROOKS: I think it’s rated very highly. It comes on the heals of the 911 Commission, the WMD Commission. We’ve had a lot of good commissions.
JIM LEHRER: Government by commission [chuckle].
DAVID BROOKS: I know, maybe this democracy thing is overcooked. Maybe our greatest public figure is Alan Greenspan.
JIM LEHRER: "All right, choose nine people and put em over there [joking]."
DAVID BROOKS: [joking] It’s worked at least maybe compared to the dysfunctional nature of our politics it done ok.
JIM LEHRER: What do you think?
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Well, it’s only an interesting reminder of how vast and overblown our military establishment has become. Our military is so vast and powerful now, you can’t find a single politician willing to openly criticize it, because if they did, they would be out of the job fairly quickly. That’s how concentrated the power is. I think we’ll just have to let it spend itself to death like Russia did, before we can stop this particular excess of power. Expect pain when that happens. Specific towns are trying to avoid the pain of a base closing. That pain might spread to the entire country one of these days, if we are not careful. But we are still far too arrogant to see that yet.
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Obviously, our administration is portraying this constitutional process as a significant event because they have no other choice. They have nothing else to hang their hat on. Bush is constantly in desperate need to publicize a current event like this because, by any more standardized measure, he’s failing. Remember when our Marines went in to clean up Fallujah? How clean is it now? Remember the big election that was going to break the will of the insurgents? How significant was that? Remember when we caught Saddam? That was supposed to greatly diminish the violence. Now they propose that a constitution will reduce the will of the insurgency. The insurgency has never been stronger than today, so where is the progress? They are running out of excuses for the violence that continues.
JIM LEHRER: You think that much is riding on this David?
DAVID BROOKS: No. No. I think it’s important. And the more elections we can have the better we are. But, you know, the security thing is the most important thing. But as far as the constitution I think there are two parts to it. The one is the distribution of power, the federalism part. And the second is the social issues part -- the protection of minorities.
On the federalism part, it seems to me they’ve done pretty good. If these events have proved anything in the past week is that we cannot bind these three groups -- the Kurds, the Sunnis, and the Shiites -- closely together into one centralized country because they’ll tear each other apart. They need a loose structure where each group can really govern themselves. So I think the federalism part is just good. And then you get to the social issues.
JIM LEHRER: But they’re not quite there yet.
DAVID BROOKS: There’re not quite there.
JIM LEHRER: But they’re not there at all.
DAVID BROOKS: Well, I wouldn’t say they are not there at all. I mean what’s going to happen is that the Sunnis are going to scream, but then they’ll participate in the process afterwards to ratify. So I think eventually they’ll get there through a process, unhappily. But then the second side, the side that’s generated a lot of press back here is the protection of women's rights, and social issues, and the court system, and things like that. And here we’re obviously a lot less happy. If you read the constitution, it’s contradictory. There are some parts of it that read like the equal rights amendment – much more liberal than anything we have, other parts that are much more restrictive. But I think the key point is that the Shiites in the South were insisting on some of these conservative social issues, they were elected and it’s their country. And if we try to repress the legitimate values that they have which, even if we find them distasteful that’ll just turn off their population. It is their country, and they’ve got to work through it.
JIM LEHRER: Do you agree with that Johnny, that the United States may be in a position where we have to stand back and let a constitution go, with some things in it that are really going to be hard to sell in the United States of America?
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Well, that is a predicament isn’t it? Of course every country’s people should be able to decide for themselves what they want, just as Venezuela has freely decided they like Chavez more than Pat Robertson does. But the United States created this situation, not the Iraqis, and the United States has now invested billions upon billions of United States tax dollars tampering with another country. And let’s not forget we began this tampering long before Bush arrived. This money has been spent very unproductively. Every prediction has gone wrong. Talk of constitution only helps the media waste more air time on another meaningless distraction from the harsh reality. This President, who runs secret prisons, shoots the finger at our media, speaks only to prescreened citizens, and kidnaps people around the world for torture, is trying to glorify himself with a deep concern for Iraqi democracy and constitutions. Pardon me for not being just a little more than skeptical. Pardon me for being a little less than respectful.
David, who must by now be the lead spokesman for the establishment, because he is so smooth at making extreme right wing policy sound moderate, is now introducing us to words like federalism to try to compare this effort to the founding of our own country. Obviously, some noble vocabulary is desperately needed to try to whitewash a very nasty situation that we really can’t afford to fix, because our country actually lacks the power, resources and integrity to fix a mess based entirely on our own immoral behavior.
DAVID BROOKS: That’s not true. It’s not our kind of democracy. We never said it was going to be Switzerland or the United States or Cape Cod. It’s going to be their kind of democracy. And that was the whole essence of the theory behind it. Which is you’ve got regimes that are dysfunctional, societies that are repressive because there’s no give and take, there’s no culture of compromise. There’s no building coalitions. But if you get a system which we will have under this constitution where women have the vote, where you’ve gotta build coalitions, where you’ve got freedom of assembly, freedom to have parties, all that kind of stuff, you get a much more normal society.
JIM LEHRER: A lot of things to talk about on Iraq this week. Senator Hegel said last Sunday, he brought up the bad word, cause he’s a Vietnam veteran, in fact he earned two purple hearts and a bronze star in Vietnam. He said, "it’s beginning to look like Vietnam." And it became a major, major event when Chuck Hegel said that. What do you think about that?
DAVID BROOKS: Well, I think he pointed to something useful. Which is that the President can’t just go around the country and say freedom, freedom, freedom, repeat that stuff. The reason a lot of people are losing support for the war is because they don’t think it’s winnable. They might think OK, it’s a noble cause, but we’re not winning. Why should we sacrifice more young men and women to a lost cause? And what the President did this week was not address this issue. He just repeated the stuff about freedom. He’s got to address the issue about winnability and he’s gotta show what we learned in Vietnam, which was how to fight an insurgency. At the end of Vietnam, we actually got reasonably good at it, using a strategy we hadn’t even tried here. So I’d hope the President would take a lot at what Hegel said and say "OK, let’s try what they learned. In Vietnam, they learned how to fight an insurgency. Let’s learn from our experience" if we haven’t don’t it all.
JIM LEHRER: Johnny, Hegel, to quote directly, he said, "by any standard, when you analyze two and half years in Iraq, we’re not winning."
JOHHNY FLATLINE: The fact that only war veteran politicians are allowed the status to criticize war only tells you how tightly controlled our government is by the military industry. But let me go back to Vietnam as well, to say we are doing exactly what we learned in Vietnam. I don’t know where David gets this story about learning how to fight insurgents. I think he’s just making that up, because it makes absolutely no sense to the historical record I’ve seen. But nice try. I know for Bush supporters, it only needs to sound good. People in general see Vietnam as a failure, but by some measures it was a complete success, and it’s important to understand how and why if we are ever going to be a responsible citizenry.
Vietnam lasted a decade, and billions were spent on military hardware. Our destructive military machine got to waste ammunition on a jungle and brown people for a decade. That was the main point of that war. There was no other point. Let’s not kid ourselves. All of the other points were meaningless sales pitch, and never a true objective. Much money and profit was made on Vietnam by our military contractors. They made all they could until they were finally stopped.
Iraq is no different. The war was always meant to last a long time, and the lies to get the war started were unimportant, because it was known that once we went in, time could be bought on the famous line well, we can’t pull out now. We created this mess, now we’ve go to finish it. And unlike Vietnam, there’s actually a massive pot of gold in Iraq that we want to control. This is a power play, plain and simple. So I’m not getting too obsessed over the future of this Iraqi constitution. Do I wish it luck, so our own violent US regime will gain confidence to try this again on another country? Or do I wish it to fail, so America can learn that we overreaching with our power?
JIM LEHRER: And of course General Meyers spoke. We had the news summary a while ago, the Chairman of the joint chiefs said he just got back from Iraq and the troops are beginning to say "well we’re doing ok over here, what’s happened back home? Where’s our support going? What he talking about? Is he talking about Hegel?
DAVID BROOKS: Well, he’s talking about what we all see in the polls, which is a drop in public support. And what you are getting from troops and I think we’ve heard it, I’ve heard it, they think they’re winning. ‘How come they’re not with us at home? Are they going to pull the rug out?’ So at the Vietnam analogy, some things don’t apply. The insurgents have no popular support. They have no big super powers backing them. They’re a shadow of that kind of thing. But on the other hand we are fighting an insurgency war. And it has begun to take a toll, though the cost, on the domestic audience. And so Meyers was saying ‘hey, if we’re going to fight this war, let’s fight it, but let’s not lose it because we lost the civilian debate at home.’ Which is why it’s so important that Bush get out there with a strategy. And just to fill one mistake we made in Vietnam, was to go around chasing insurgents on search and destroy missions, thinking, ‘hey, we’ve got all this fire power, let’s use it.’ And we’d chase them and we’d leave the village and they’d take over the village again.
JIM LEHRER: Which is exactly what happened in Fallujah and Ramada.
DAVID BROOKS: Exactly, and they’ll kill everybody that helped us. And we made all those mistake exactly again. The secret we learned in Vietnam was don’t worry about attacking the enemy. Protect civilians. And then slowly expand the areas you’re protecting. That way you get civilians helping you. We learned that in Vietnam [chuckle] but we haven’t learnt it now.
JIM LEHRER: You believe that the President could turn this around by just changing his message to the American people about this war?
DAVID BROOKS: No. Well I think the message has to be not ‘hey we’re advancing freedom.’ People either accept that or they don’t. The message has gotta be a strategy, but then there has to be a strategy, there has to be a measurable result of what we’re winning on the ground. Listen, in Mosul two weeks ago, three election workers, Sunni election workers, were killed while they were just trying to register voters. That’s the moral clarity of this issue. That’s not what the issue is. Is it a lost cause or are we winning? And I think it’s way too soon to be defeatist about it on the ground.
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Of course it’s too early, because Bush has not handed off enough billions to his buddies yet. And leaches will not quick sucking until somebody lights a flame to it. It’s that simple. Most money spent on Iraq is not money handed to an Iraqi. It's mostly money handed to funny corporations based in places like Houston.
JIM LEHRER: Quick, another subject before we go and that’s the base closing commission. A lotta talk about politics and whether there was or wasn’t, who wins, who loses. How do you read the performance?
DAVID BROOKS: I think it’s rated very highly. It comes on the heals of the 911 Commission, the WMD Commission. We’ve had a lot of good commissions.
JIM LEHRER: Government by commission [chuckle].
DAVID BROOKS: I know, maybe this democracy thing is overcooked. Maybe our greatest public figure is Alan Greenspan.
JIM LEHRER: "All right, choose nine people and put em over there [joking]."
DAVID BROOKS: [joking] It’s worked at least maybe compared to the dysfunctional nature of our politics it done ok.
JIM LEHRER: What do you think?
JOHNNY FLATLINE: Well, it’s only an interesting reminder of how vast and overblown our military establishment has become. Our military is so vast and powerful now, you can’t find a single politician willing to openly criticize it, because if they did, they would be out of the job fairly quickly. That’s how concentrated the power is. I think we’ll just have to let it spend itself to death like Russia did, before we can stop this particular excess of power. Expect pain when that happens. Specific towns are trying to avoid the pain of a base closing. That pain might spread to the entire country one of these days, if we are not careful. But we are still far too arrogant to see that yet.
